Mapping fine particulate matter

January 13, 2017

Mapping fine particulate matter (PM2.5) requires a number of spatial and spatiotemporal covariates, one of which is aerosol optical depth (AOD) captured by NASA satellites. However, AOD is often missing, and it is likely the conditions that lead to missing AOD are also conducive to high AOD (pictured below).

aerosol optical depth, observed and predicted

The following paper develops a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting PM2.5 when a spatial covariate such as AOD exhibits informative missingness. Read more in Environmetrics:

Grantham, NS, Reich, BJ, Liu, Y, Chang, HH (2018). Spatial Regression with an Informatively-Missing Covariate: Application to Mapping Fine Particulate Matter. Environmetrics.

Julia code available at github.com/nsgrantham/spatial-covariate-informative-missingness.